Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: BERGAMO (ITALY), HARD (INDOOR) - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 2 November 2022, Wednesday


	Gregoire Barrere		Matteo Arnaldi

	1	2
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.53	2.35
	1.52	2.45
	1.49	2.39
	1.53	2.54
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.51	2.42	Watch
	1.51	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.65)	2.44 ↑ (2.08)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gregoire Barrere
61.6%

Matteo Arnaldi
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.8%

44.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gregoire Barrere has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gregoire Barrere's performance.

Matteo Arnaldi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Matteo Arnaldi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gregoire Barrere than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Arnaldi than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Gregoire Barrere - Matteo Arnaldi Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Barrere will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Arnaldi will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Barrere is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Arnaldi is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Arnaldi could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Barrere will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Barrere won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gregoire Barrere
ATP Challenger
30.10.22	Gregoire Barrere - Luca Van Assche	2:0 ✺
29.10.22	Mathias Bourgue - Gregoire Barrere	0:2 ✺
28.10.22	Gregoire Barrere - Gilles Simon	Barrere G. walkover ✺
27.10.22	Gregoire Barrere - Beibit Zhukayev	2:0 ✺
26.10.22	Gregoire Barrere - Dimitar Kuzmanov	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WW?WW
- Matteo Arnaldi
ATP Challenger
27.10.22	Gilles Simon - Matteo Arnaldi	2:0 ✺
25.10.22	Nino Serdarusic - Matteo Arnaldi	0:2 ✺
19.10.22	Cem Ilkel - Matteo Arnaldi	2:0 ✺
16.10.22	Matteo Arnaldi - Mattia Bellucci	0:2 ✺
15.10.22	Matteo Arnaldi - Ugo Humbert	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
14.10.22	Matteo Arnaldi - Gregoire Barrere	2:0

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