Match Info

Date: 19 October 2022, Wednesday


	Cem Ilkel		Matteo Arnaldi

	1	2
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.55	1.45
	2.5	1.52
	2.48	1.46
	2.65	1.49
	2.62	1.44	Watch
	2.5	1.48	Watch
	2.5	1.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↑ (2.33)	1.48 ↓ (1.52)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cem Ilkel
36.8%

Matteo Arnaldi
63.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.5%

60.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2%

63.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cem Ilkel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Matteo Arnaldi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cem Ilkel than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Arnaldi than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Cem Ilkel - Matteo Arnaldi Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Ilkel will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Arnaldi will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Ilkel is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Arnaldi is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Ilkel could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Arnaldi will have a poor advantage in this game.

Our prediction for today's Arnaldi to win the game is with odds 1.48.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cem Ilkel
ATP Challenger
17.10.22	Cem Ilkel - Luca Potenza	2:0 ✺
16.10.22	Cem Ilkel - Tomas Vaise	2:0 ✺
ATP Astana
01.10.22	Cem Ilkel - Zhizhen Zhang	1:2 ✺
ATP Tel Aviv
27.09.22	Cem Ilkel - Sebastian Korda	0:2 ✺
26.09.22	Alexander Shevchenko - Cem Ilkel	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWLLW
- Matteo Arnaldi
ATP Challenger
16.10.22	Matteo Arnaldi - Mattia Bellucci	0:2 ✺
15.10.22	Matteo Arnaldi - Ugo Humbert	2:0 ✺
14.10.22	Matteo Arnaldi - Gregoire Barrere	2:0 ✺
13.10.22	Matteo Arnaldi - Harold Mayot	2:0 ✺
11.10.22	Alexander Shevchenko - Matteo Arnaldi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 LWWWW

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