Match Info

Date: 25 October 2022, Tuesday


	Nino Serdarusic		Matteo Arnaldi

	1	2
	3.4	1.3	Watch
	3.2	1.3
	3.3	1.32
	3.15	1.3
	3.41	1.32
	3.25	1.33
	3.2	1.31	Watch
	3.25	1.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.27 ↑ (2.61)	1.31 ↓ (1.42)

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nino Serdarusic
28.6%

Matteo Arnaldi
71.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

64.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32%

68%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nino Serdarusic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nino Serdarusic's form might have worsened.

Matteo Arnaldi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Matteo Arnaldi's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nino Serdarusic than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matteo Arnaldi than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	0%	90%

Nino Serdarusic - Matteo Arnaldi Predictions

Users Predictions: Matteo Arnaldi will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Serdarusic is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Arnaldi is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Serdarusic could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Arnaldi is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nino Serdarusic
ATP Challenger
18.10.22	Nino Serdarusic - Stefano Travaglia	0:2 ✺
ATP Florence
08.10.22	Nino Serdarusic - Andrea Vavassori	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
22.09.22	Nino Serdarusic - Alexander Shevchenko	0:2 ✺
20.09.22	Nino Serdarusic - Imanol Lopez Morillo	2:0 ✺
06.09.22	Nino Serdarusic - Bernabe Zapata Miralles	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLLWL
- Matteo Arnaldi
ATP Challenger
19.10.22	Cem Ilkel - Matteo Arnaldi	2:0 ✺
16.10.22	Matteo Arnaldi - Mattia Bellucci	0:2 ✺
15.10.22	Matteo Arnaldi - Ugo Humbert	2:0 ✺
14.10.22	Matteo Arnaldi - Gregoire Barrere	2:0 ✺
13.10.22	Matteo Arnaldi - Harold Mayot	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LLWWW

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