Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Mallorca, grass - Quarter-finals

Date: 25 June 2026, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Premier Sport 2
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 6
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 5
Portugal	Sport TV4
Romania	Prima Sport 3, Prima Sport PPV 2
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Tennis
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Tennis


	Grigor Dimitrov		Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

	1	2
	2.63	1.5	Watch
	2.35	1.57
	2.47	1.53	Watch
	2.58	1.61
	2.55	1.54	Watch
	2.38	1.57
	2.47	1.57	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↓ (2.54)	1.56 ↑ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.50

The best margin for this event is 0.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grigor Dimitrov
38.5%

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
61.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.3%

62.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

63.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grigor Dimitrov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grigor Dimitrov than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	0%	36.4%

Grigor Dimitrov - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Dimitrov will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Davidovich Fokina will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dimitrov: 35.2% – 92%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Dimitrov (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Dimitrov is ranked ATP: 164. Davidovich Fokina is ranked ATP: 25.

Dimitrov is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Davidovich Fokina's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Dimitrov may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Davidovich Fokina could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Dimitrov won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grigor Dimitrov
ATP Mallorca
24.06.26	Abedallah Shelbayh - Grigor Dimitrov	0:2 ✺
23.06.26	Marc Polmans - Grigor Dimitrov	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
18.06.26	Grigor Dimitrov - Kyrian Jacquet	0:2 ✺
17.06.26	Grigor Dimitrov - Conor Gannon	2:0 ✺
16.06.26	Grigor Dimitrov - Chris Rodesch	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWLWW
- Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
ATP Mallorca
24.06.26	Adam Walton - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:2 ✺
ATP London
19.06.26	Tommy Paul - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:0 ✺
18.06.26	Corentin Moutet - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:2 ✺
16.06.26	Cameron Norrie - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:2 ✺
ATP Stuttgart
08.06.26	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Mattia Bellucci	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Monte Carlo
16.04.22	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Grigor Dimitrov	2:1
ATP Roma
11.05.21	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Grigor Dimitrov	2:0

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