Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Brisbane, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 6 January 2026, Tuesday


	Grigor Dimitrov		Pablo Carreno-Busta

	1	2
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.46	2.65	Watch
	1.46	2.65	Watch
	1.44	2.75
	1.49	2.7	Watch
	1.41	2.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↑ (1.44)	2.7 (2.7)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Grigor Dimitrov
65.1%

Pablo Carreno-Busta
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.2%

34.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grigor Dimitrov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Pablo Carreno-Busta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	0%	28.6%

Grigor Dimitrov - Pablo Carreno Busta Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Dimitrov will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Carreno Busta will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Dimitrov (votes: 2 - 50%). Carreno Busta (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -3.5 Games - Dimitrov (2.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Dimitrov (votes: 3 - 60%). Carreno Busta (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Dimitrov is ranked ATP: 44. Carreno Busta is ranked ATP: 93.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dimitrov won 2.

Carreno Busta has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Dimitrov may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Dimitrov could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Dimitrov won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 0.9:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Grigor Dimitrov - the odds 1.44 are the expected chance of winning is 65.22%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grigor Dimitrov
ATP Paris
29.10.25	Grigor Dimitrov - Daniil Medvedev	Medvedev D. walkover ✺
27.10.25	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Grigor Dimitrov	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
07.07.25	Jannik Sinner - Grigor Dimitrov	Dimitrov G. retired ✺
05.07.25	Grigor Dimitrov - Sebastian Ofner	3:0 ✺
03.07.25	Grigor Dimitrov - Corentin Moutet	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.5 ?W?WW
- Pablo Carreno-Busta
ATP Brisbane
03.01.26	Arthur Cazaux - Pablo Carreno-Busta	Cazaux A. retired ✺
02.01.26	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Mattia Bellucci	2:1 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
23.11.25	Matteo Berrettini - Pablo Carreno-Busta	2:0 ✺
22.11.25	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Jan-Lennard Struff	2:0 ✺
20.11.25	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Jakub Mensik	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 ?WLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Australian Open
11.02.21	Grigor Dimitrov - Pablo Carreno-Busta	Dimitrov G. retired
ATP Barcelona
27.04.18	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Grigor Dimitrov	2:0
ATP World Tour Finals
17.11.17	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Grigor Dimitrov	0:2
ATP Roland Garros
02.06.17	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Grigor Dimitrov	3:0
ATP Madrid
03.05.16	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Grigor Dimitrov	2:0
ATP Paris
02.11.15	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Grigor Dimitrov	0:2
ATP Madrid
05.05.14	Grigor Dimitrov - Pablo Carreno-Busta	2:0

Upcoming Matches