Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: MIAMI (USA), HARD - 1/64-FINALS

Date: 22 March 2023, Wednesday


	Guido Pella		Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio

	1	2
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.78	2
	1.83	1.98
	1.82	2.01
	1.8	2.11
	1.85	1.95	Watch
	1.78	2.04	Watch
	1.82	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (2.08)	2.01 ↑ (1.75)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guido Pella
52.6%

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio
47.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.7%

54.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

55.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guido Pella has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Guido Pella's performance.

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guido Pella than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Guido Pella that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69%	0%	31%

Guido Pella - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino Samudio Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Pella will win (votes: 20 - 69%). Varillas will win (votes: 9 - 31%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pella: 52.2% – 85.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Pella could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Pella won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guido Pella
ATP Indian Wells
11.03.23	Guido Pella - Tallon Griekspoor	0:2 ✺
09.03.23	Thiago Monteiro - Guido Pella	1:2 ✺
ATP Buenos Aires
13.02.23	Jaume Munar - Guido Pella	2:0 ✺
ATP Cordoba
09.02.23	Guido Pella - Hugo Dellien	0:2 ✺
07.02.23	Guido Pella - Andrea Vavassori	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LWLLW
- Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio
ATP Santiago
28.02.23	Nicolas Jarry - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	2:0 ✺
ATP Rio de Janeiro
23.02.23	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Sebastian Baez	0:2 ✺
21.02.23	Hugo Gaston - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	0:2 ✺
ATP Buenos Aires
18.02.23	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Cameron Norrie	0:2 ✺
17.02.23	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Lorenzo Musetti	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
09.08.17	Guido Pella - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	2:0

Guido Pella - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide