Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: SANTIAGO (CHILE), CLAY - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 29 February 2024, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: SANTIAGO (CHILE) 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Bosnia And Herzegovina	20:45	SportKlub
Croatia	20:45	SportKlub
Portugal	19:45	Sport TV5
Serbia	20:45	SportKlub
Slovenia	20:45	SportKlub


	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio		Sebastian Baez

	1	2
	3.5	1.3	Watch
	3.7	1.26	Watch
	3.8	1.25	Watch
	4.11	1.28
	3.5	1.3	Watch
	3.59	1.3	Watch
	3.6	1.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.69 ↑ (3.36)	1.28 ↓ (1.32)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio
25.8%

Sebastian Baez
74.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

28.2%

71.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.1%

71.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Sebastian Baez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Baez than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.3%	0%	91.7%

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino Samudio - Sebastian Baez Predictions

Users Predictions: Sebastian Baez will win (22 of 24 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.61% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Varillas Patino-Samudio won 1.

Varillas Patino-Samudio is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Baez is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Varillas Patino-Samudio could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Baez is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Varillas Patino-Samudio won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 5-15.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio
ATP Santiago
27.02.24	Francisco Comesana - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	1:2 ✺
27.02.24	Mariano Navone - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	Canceled ✺
ATP Rio de Janeiro
19.02.24	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Albert Ramos-Vinolas	1:2 ✺
ATP Buenos Aires
13.02.24	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	0:2 ✺
ATP Cordoba
06.02.24	Yannick Hanfmann - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 W?LLL
- Sebastian Baez
ATP Rio de Janeiro
25.02.24	Sebastian Baez - Mariano Navone	2:0 ✺
24.02.24	Sebastian Baez - Francisco Cerundolo	2:0 ✺
23.02.24	Thiago Monteiro - Sebastian Baez	1:2 ✺
22.02.24	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Sebastian Baez	0:2 ✺
20.02.24	Corentin Moutet - Sebastian Baez	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Roma
10.05.23	Sebastian Baez - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	2:0
ATP Rio de Janeiro
23.02.23	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Sebastian Baez	0:2
ATP Santiago
22.02.22	Sebastian Baez - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	2:0
ATP Challenger
23.10.21	Sebastian Baez - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	2:0
10.10.21	Sebastian Baez - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	0:2
ATP Hamburg
11.07.21	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Sebastian Baez	2:1
ATP Challenger
15.05.21	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Sebastian Baez	1:2

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Sebastian Baez