Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: RIO DE JANEIRO (BRAZIL), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 21 February 2023, Tuesday


	Hugo Gaston		Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio

	1	2
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.6	1.48
	2.8	1.44
	2.67	1.53
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.65	1.48	Watch
	2.5	1.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↓ (2.82)	1.49 ↑ (1.43)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hugo Gaston
36%

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio
64%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

66.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.5%

68.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hugo Gaston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hugo Gaston than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
17.9%	0%	82.1%

Hugo Gaston - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino Samudio Predictions

Users Predictions: Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio will win (23 of 28 users predict this - 82.14%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.95% – 96.33%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Gaston is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Varillas Patino-Samudio is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Varillas Patino-Samudio will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Varillas Patino-Samudio to win the game is with odds 1.44.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Gaston won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hugo Gaston
ATP Rio de Janeiro
19.02.23	Hugo Gaston - Eduardo Ribeiro	2:0 ✺
18.02.23	Hugo Gaston - Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves	2:0 ✺
ATP Buenos Aires
12.02.23	Hugo Gaston - Yannick Hanfmann	0:2 ✺
11.02.23	Hugo Gaston - Jozef Kovalik	2:1 ✺
ATP Cordoba
06.02.23	Luciano Darderi - Hugo Gaston	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWLWL
- Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio
ATP Buenos Aires
18.02.23	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Cameron Norrie	0:2 ✺
17.02.23	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Lorenzo Musetti	2:0 ✺
16.02.23	Dominic Thiem - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	0:2 ✺
14.02.23	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Joao Sousa	2:0 ✺
12.02.23	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Federico Delbonis	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
24.04.21	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Hugo Gaston	0:2

Hugo Gaston - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide