Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Montevideo, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 14 November 2025, Friday


	Ignacio Buse		Gustavo Heide

	1	2
	1.53	2.38	Watch
			Watch
	1.64	2.13	Watch
	1.74	2.17
	1.59	2.25	Watch
	1.62	2.16	Watch
	1.55	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.53)	2.23 ↓ (2.37)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ignacio Buse
58.1%

Gustavo Heide
41.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.8%

39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.5%

38.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ignacio Buse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Gustavo Heide has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ignacio Buse than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gustavo Heide than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Ignacio Buse - Gustavo Heide Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Buse will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Heide will win (votes: 5 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Buse: 19% – 81%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Buse (votes: 2 - 50%). Heide (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5 Games - Buse (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Buse (votes: 3 - 60%). Heide (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Buse is ranked ATP: 110. Heide is ranked ATP: 304.

Recent performances by Buse have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Heide is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Buse is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Ignacio Buse - the odds 1.53 are the expected chance of winning is 60.77%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ignacio Buse
ATP Challenger
12.11.25	Ignacio Buse - Vilius Gaubas	2:1 ✺
10.11.25	Ignacio Buse - Timofey Skatov	2:0 ✺
06.11.25	Ignacio Buse - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	0:2 ✺
04.11.25	Ignacio Buse - Miguel Tobon	2:1 ✺
31.10.25	Ignacio Buse - Alvaro Guillen Meza	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWLWL
- Gustavo Heide
ATP Challenger
12.11.25	Gustavo Heide - Emilio Nava	2:1 ✺
10.11.25	Gustavo Heide - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
02.11.25	Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna - Gustavo Heide	0:2 ✺
01.11.25	Gustavo Heide - Julian Cundom	2:0 ✺
31.10.25	Hernan Casanova - Gustavo Heide	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWWWW

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