Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: RIO DE JANEIRO (BRAZIL), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 19 February 2024, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: RIO DE JANEIRO (BRAZIL) 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	06:40	beIN Sports
Bosnia And Herzegovina	20:40	SportKlub
Croatia	20:40	SportKlub
Czech Republic	20:40	Premier Sport 3
Germany	20:40	Sky Sport Tennis
Poland	20:40	Polsat Sport News
Portugal	19:40	Sport TV2
Romania	21:40	Prima Sport 3
Serbia	20:40	SportKlub
Slovenia	20:40	SportKlub


	Gustavo Heide		Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera

	1	2
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	2.1	1.72	Watch
	2.1	1.72	Watch
	2.18	1.75
	1.91	1.91	Watch
	2.11	1.73	Watch
	1.98	1.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (1.78)	1.77 ↓ (2)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gustavo Heide
46.1%

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
53.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

52.9%

47.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.1%

46.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gustavo Heide has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gustavo Heide's form might have worsened.

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gustavo Heide than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gustavo Heide, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
34.3%	0%	65.7%

Gustavo Heide - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera Predictions

Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Heide will win (votes: 12 - 34.3%). Barrios Vera will win (votes: 23 - 65.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Barrios Vera: 50% – 81.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Heide is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Barrios Vera has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Barrios Vera could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Heide won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gustavo Heide
Davis Cup World Group
03.02.24	Karl Friberg - Gustavo Heide	Canceled ✺
02.02.24	Elias Ymer - Gustavo Heide	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
24.01.24	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Gustavo Heide	2:1 ✺
22.01.24	Gustavo Heide - Andrea Collarini	2:0 ✺
17.01.24	Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna - Gustavo Heide	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 ?LLWL
- Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
ATP Rio de Janeiro
17.02.24	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	Canceled ✺
ATP Buenos Aires
10.02.24	Francisco Comesana - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	2:0 ✺
ATP Cordoba
06.02.24	Luciano Darderi - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
23.01.24	Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	2:1 ✺
ATP Australian Open
10.01.24	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 ?LLLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
22.11.23	Gustavo Heide - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	2:0
19.04.23	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Gustavo Heide	2:0

Gustavo Heide - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera