Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lisbon, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 23 September 2025, Tuesday


	Guy Den Ouden		Elias Ymer

	1	2
	1.36	3	Watch
			Watch
	1.43	2.65	Watch
	1.44	2.87
	1.36	3.00	Watch
			Watch
	1.43	2.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↑ (1.36)	2.84 ↓ (3)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guy Den Ouden
66.9%

Elias Ymer
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.8%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.2%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guy Den Ouden has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Elias Ymer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guy Den Ouden than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elias Ymer than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Guy Den Ouden - Elias Ymer Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -3.5 Games - Den Ouden (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Den Ouden (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Den Ouden is ranked ATP: 160. Ymer is ranked ATP: 242.

Den Ouden has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Ymer is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Den Ouden may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Den Ouden is considered a favorite.

We predict that Den Ouden will win today's game, with odds of 1.37.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guy Den Ouden
ATP Challenger
03.09.25	Guy Den Ouden - Carlos Taberner	Den Ouden G. retired ✺
02.09.25	Guy Den Ouden - Dominik Kellovsky	2:1 ✺
31.08.25	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Guy Den Ouden	0:2 ✺
30.08.25	Frederico Ferreira Silva - Guy Den Ouden	0:2 ✺
29.08.25	Daniel Michalski - Guy Den Ouden	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 ?WWWW
- Elias Ymer
ATP Challenger
15.09.25	Elias Ymer - Sandro Kopp	0:2 ✺
08.09.25	Elias Ymer - Facundo Diaz Acosta	0:2 ✺
01.09.25	Dusan Lajovic - Elias Ymer	2:1 ✺
25.08.25	Pedro Araujo - Elias Ymer	2:1 ✺
ATP US Open
18.08.25	Patrick Maloney - Elias Ymer	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Guy Den Ouden - Elias Ymer: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide