Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Porto 2, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 29 August 2025, Friday


	Daniel Michalski		Guy Den Ouden

	1	2
	3.5	1.29	Watch
	3.5	1.26	Watch
	3.45	1.26	Watch
	3.82	1.29
	3.80	1.25	Watch
	3.25	1.33	Watch
	3.63	1.26	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.56 ↑ (3.03)	1.28 ↓ (1.33)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniel Michalski
26.4%

Guy Den Ouden
73.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.4%

69.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.9%

72.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Michalski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Guy Den Ouden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Michalski than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guy Den Ouden than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Daniel Michalski - Guy Den Ouden Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Michalski will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Den Ouden will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Michalski (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Michalski is ranked ATP: 277. Den Ouden is ranked ATP: 161.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Den Ouden is considered a favorite.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Michalski
ATP Challenger
28.08.25	Dimitar Kuzmanov - Daniel Michalski	1:2 ✺
26.08.25	Daniel Michalski - Carlos Sanchez Jover	2:0 ✺
18.08.25	Alexander Donski - Daniel Michalski	2:0 ✺
02.08.25	Daniel Michalski - Genaro Alberto Olivieri	0:2 ✺
01.08.25	Daniel Michalski - Valentin Vacherot	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WWLLW
- Guy Den Ouden
ATP Challenger
28.08.25	Francisco Rocha - Guy Den Ouden	0:2 ✺
26.08.25	Mili Poljicak - Guy Den Ouden	1:2 ✺
ATP US Open
18.08.25	Guy Den Ouden - Daniel Elahi Galan	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
03.08.25	Guy Den Ouden - Yannick Hanfmann	1:2 ✺
03.08.25	Guy Den Ouden - Jerome Kym	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWLLW

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