Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Dubai, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 16 February 2026, Monday


	Jelena Ostapenko		Anna Kalinskaya

	1	2
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.75	1.45
	2.79	1.49
	2.81	1.41	Watch
	2.75	1.44
	2.76	1.45	Watch
	2.62	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 (2.75)	1.45 ↑ (1.44)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jelena Ostapenko
34.5%

Anna Kalinskaya
65.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

65.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.8%

71.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jelena Ostapenko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Anna Kalinskaya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jelena Ostapenko than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jelena Ostapenko that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Anna Kalinskaya than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Anna Kalinskaya could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Jelena Ostapenko - Anna Kalinskaya Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Anna Kalinskaya will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Ostapenko is ranked WTA: 24. Kalinskaya is ranked WTA: 28.

Ostapenko is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Kalinskaya's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Ostapenko may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Kalinskaya might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ostapenko won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 0:6. (average 0:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Anna Kalinskaya - the odds 1.44 are the expected chance of winning is 65.63%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jelena Ostapenko
WTA Doha
13.02.26	Jelena Ostapenko - Victoria Mboko	0:2 ✺
12.02.26	Jelena Ostapenko - Elisabaetta Cocciaretto	2:0 ✺
11.02.26	Jelena Ostapenko - Maria Camila Osorio Serrano	2:0 ✺
10.02.26	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Jelena Ostapenko	0:2 ✺
09.02.26	Anastasia Zakharova - Jelena Ostapenko	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LWWWW
- Anna Kalinskaya
WTA Doha
12.02.26	Karolina Muchova - Anna Kalinskaya	2:0 ✺
11.02.26	Anna Kalinskaya - Elina Svitolina	2:0 ✺
10.02.26	Emma Navarro - Anna Kalinskaya	1:2 ✺
09.02.26	Anna Kalinskaya - Jessica Bouzas Maneiro	2:0 ✺
WTA Australian Open
24.01.26	Anna Kalinskaya - Iga Swiatek	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

WTA Miami
23.03.24	Anna Kalinskaya - Jelena Ostapenko	2:0
WTA Dubai
21.02.24	Jelena Ostapenko - Anna Kalinskaya	0:2
WTA Adelaide 2
09.01.23	Jelena Ostapenko - Anna Kalinskaya	0:2

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