Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Rouen, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 14 April 2026, Tuesday


	Hailey Baptiste		Jessika Ponchet

	1	2
	1.17	5	Watch
	1.15	5.2	Watch
	1.15	6.42
	1.14	5.46	Watch
	1.17	5
	1.15	5.45	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.16 ↓ (1.36)	5.42 ↑ (3.13)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hailey Baptiste
82.4%

Jessika Ponchet
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.7%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.3%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hailey Baptiste has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hailey Baptiste's performance.

Jessika Ponchet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jessika Ponchet might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hailey Baptiste than the current prediction. (-14.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hailey Baptiste that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jessika Ponchet than the current prediction. (+14.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jessika Ponchet could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Hailey Baptiste - Jessika Ponchet Predictions

Users Predictions: Hailey Baptiste will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Baptiste is ranked WTA: 35. Ponchet is ranked WTA: 170.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Baptiste may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Baptiste is seen as the favorite.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hailey Baptiste
WTA Charleston
01.04.26	Hailey Baptiste - Renata Zarazua	1:2 ✺
WTA Miami
25.03.26	Aryna Sabalenka - Hailey Baptiste	2:0 ✺
23.03.26	Hailey Baptiste - Jelena Ostapenko	2:0 ✺
22.03.26	Elina Svitolina - Hailey Baptiste	0:2 ✺
20.03.26	Hailey Baptiste - Ludmilla Samsonova	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 LLWWW
- Jessika Ponchet
ATP Challenger
08.04.26	Jessika Ponchet - Polina Kudermetova	0:2 ✺
06.04.26	Nuria Brancaccio - Jessika Ponchet	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
26.03.26	Jessika Ponchet - Gabriela Knutson	0:2 ✺
25.03.26	Jessika Ponchet - Pia Lovric	2:0 ✺
21.03.26	Tatiana Prozorova - Jessika Ponchet	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWLWL

Hailey Baptiste - Jessika Ponchet: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide