Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 6 April 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Madrid 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Nuria Brancaccio		Jessika Ponchet

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Nuria Brancaccio
64.9%

Jessika Ponchet
35.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

64.5%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.4%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nuria Brancaccio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Jessika Ponchet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nuria Brancaccio than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jessika Ponchet than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Brancaccio is ranked WTA: 150. Ponchet is ranked WTA: 168.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Brancaccio could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nuria Brancaccio
ATP Challenger
26.03.26	Anhelina Kalinina - Nuria Brancaccio	2:0 ✺
24.03.26	Nuria Brancaccio - Lisa Pigato	2:0 ✺
13.03.26	Veronika Erjavec - Nuria Brancaccio	2:0 ✺
12.03.26	Nuria Brancaccio - Julia Grabher	2:1 ✺
11.03.26	Lucia Bronzetti - Nuria Brancaccio	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LWLWW
- Jessika Ponchet
ITF Tournaments
26.03.26	Jessika Ponchet - Gabriela Knutson	0:2 ✺
25.03.26	Jessika Ponchet - Pia Lovric	2:0 ✺
21.03.26	Tatiana Prozorova - Jessika Ponchet	2:0 ✺
20.03.26	Anna Siskova - Jessika Ponchet	0:2 ✺
19.03.26	Alja Senica - Jessika Ponchet	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWLWW

Nuria Brancaccio - Jessika Ponchet