Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Cincinnati, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 12 August 2025, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 1
Brazil	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo+
France	Eurosport 2
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 6
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4
Poland	Polsat Sport Premium 1, Polsat Sport Premium 2
Portugal	Sport TV7
Romania	Digi Sport 2, Digi Sport 4, Prima Sport 2
Sweden	TV4 Play
Ukraine	Setanta Sports Premium


	Hamad Medjedovic		Carlos Alcaraz Garfia

	1	2
	5.5	1.14	Watch
	5.25	1.15	Watch
	5.3	1.14	Watch
	5.78	1.17
	5.20	1.15	Watch
	5.5	1.14	Watch
			Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.42 ↓ (8)	1.15 ↑ (1.08)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hamad Medjedovic
17.5%

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
82.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.9%

88.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hamad Medjedovic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hamad Medjedovic's performance.

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Carlos Alcaraz Garfia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Hamad Medjedovic - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Medjedovic will win (votes: 12 - 60%). Alcaraz Garfia will win (votes: 8 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Medjedovic: 38.5% – 81.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Medjedovic (2.34) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH +4.5 Games - Medjedovic (1.78) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 20.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 25.5 Games - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 Sets - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -3.5 Games - Alcaraz Garfia (1.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 10.5 Games, 1st Set - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 12.5 Games, 1st Set - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Hamad Medjedovic will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Medjedovic (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Alcaraz Garfia (votes: 3 - 27.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Medjedovic is ranked ATP: 72. Alcaraz Garfia is ranked ATP: 2.

Recent performances by Medjedovic have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Alcaraz Garfia is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Medjedovic may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Alcaraz Garfia is the clear favorite.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hamad Medjedovic
ATP Cincinnati
10.08.25	Tallon Griekspoor - Hamad Medjedovic	0:2 ✺
08.08.25	Hamad Medjedovic - Aleksandar Kovacevic	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
01.07.25	Sebastian Ofner - Hamad Medjedovic	Medjedovic H. retired ✺
ATP Mallorca
26.06.25	Hamad Medjedovic - Felix Aliassime-Auger	1:2 ✺
24.06.25	Roman Safiullin - Hamad Medjedovic	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WW?LW
- Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
ATP Cincinnati
10.08.25	Damir Dzumhur - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	1:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
13.07.25	Jannik Sinner - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	3:1 ✺
11.07.25	Taylor Harry Fritz - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	1:3 ✺
08.07.25	Cameron Norrie - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:3 ✺
06.07.25	Andrey Rublev - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLWWW

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