Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Madrid - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 21 April 2025, Monday


	Harold Mayot		Alexander Shevchenko

	1	2
			Watch
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.55	1.45	Watch
	2.75	1.47
	2.72	1.44	Watch
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.54	1.52	Watch
	2.55	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↑ (2.13)	1.48 ↓ (1.66)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Harold Mayot
36.5%

Alexander Shevchenko
63.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.8%

56.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.5%

59.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Harold Mayot has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Harold Mayot's form might have worsened.

Alexander Shevchenko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alexander Shevchenko's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Harold Mayot than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexander Shevchenko than the current prediction. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Harold Mayot - Alexander Shevchenko Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Mayot will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Shevchenko will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shevchenko: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Shevchenko (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Mayot is ranked ATP: 149. Shevchenko is ranked ATP: 104.

Two players are playing changeable.

Mayot could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Shevchenko will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Harold Mayot - the odds 2.13 are the expected chance of winning is 43.8%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Harold Mayot
ATP Challenger
07.04.25	Jan Choinski - Harold Mayot	Canceled ✺
ATP Marrakech
31.03.25	Harold Mayot - Pierre-Hugues Herbert	0:2 ✺
30.03.25	Harold Mayot - Aslan Karatsev	Karatsev A. retired ✺
ATP Challenger
25.03.25	Harold Mayot - Borna Coric	0:2 ✺
21.03.25	Harold Mayot - Jesper De Jong	De Jong J. walkover ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 ?L?L?
- Alexander Shevchenko
ATP Munich
17.04.25	Francisco Cerundolo - Alexander Shevchenko	2:0 ✺
15.04.25	Flavio Cobolli - Alexander Shevchenko	1:2 ✺
13.04.25	Borna Gojo - Alexander Shevchenko	2:0 ✺
12.04.25	Alexander Shevchenko - Rinky Hijikata	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
09.04.25	Norbert Gombos - Alexander Shevchenko	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWLWL

Harold Mayot - Alexander Shevchenko: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide