Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Metz - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 1 November 2025, Saturday


	Jan Choinski		Harold Mayot

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	1.70	2.09	Watch
			Watch
	2.62	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↑ (1.7)	1.77 ↓ (2.09)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jan Choinski
45%

Harold Mayot
55%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.1%

44.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4%

44.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jan Choinski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jan Choinski's form might have worsened.

Harold Mayot has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Harold Mayot's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jan Choinski than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jan Choinski, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Harold Mayot than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Harold Mayot, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Jan Choinski - Harold Mayot Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Choinski (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Harold Mayot will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Harold Mayot will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Choinski (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Mayot (votes: 6 - 85.7%).

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Preview

Choinski is ranked ATP: 131. Mayot is ranked ATP: 159.

Currently, both players are in excellent shape.

Choinski may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Choinski won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).

Last Results with these Odds

Jan Choinski - the odds 1.7 are the expected chance of winning is 55.15%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Harold Mayot - the odds 2.09 are the expected chance of winning is 44.85%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jan Choinski
ATP Challenger
28.10.25	Jan Choinski - Billy Harris	0:2 ✺
27.10.25	Jan Choinski - Milos Karol	2:0 ✺
12.10.25	Jan Choinski - Luka Mikrut	2:1 ✺
12.10.25	Jan Choinski - Henri Squire	2:1 ✺
09.10.25	Albert Ramos-Vinolas - Jan Choinski	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LWWWW
- Harold Mayot
ATP Challenger
26.10.25	Yoshihito Nishioka - Harold Mayot	2:0 ✺
25.10.25	Harold Mayot - Yu Hsiou Hsu	2:0 ✺
24.10.25	Harold Mayot - Yuta Shimizu	2:0 ✺
23.10.25	Harold Mayot - Naoya Honda	Honda N. retired ✺
20.10.25	Harold Mayot - Yasutaka Uchiyama	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWW?W

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
04.07.25	Jan Choinski - Harold Mayot	2:0
07.04.25	Jan Choinski - Harold Mayot	Canceled

Jan Choinski - Harold Mayot: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide