Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Hersonissos 3, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 12 August 2025, Tuesday


	Harry Wendelken		Lucas Poullain

	1	2
	2	1.73	Watch
	2	1.72
	2.02	1.71	Watch
	2.13	1.73
	2.12	1.69	Watch
	2	1.73	Watch
			Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↑ (1.83)	1.72 ↓ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Harry Wendelken
45.7%

Lucas Poullain
54.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.9%

54.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Harry Wendelken has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Lucas Poullain has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Harry Wendelken than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lucas Poullain than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Harry Wendelken - Lucas Poullain Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Wendelken is ranked ATP: 507. Poullain is ranked ATP: 354.

Recent performances by Wendelken have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Poullain is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Poullain may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Harry Wendelken - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Harry Wendelken
ITF Tournaments
08.08.25	Henry Searle - Harry Wendelken	2:1 ✺
07.08.25	Oliver Bonding - Harry Wendelken	0:2 ✺
06.08.25	Paul Barbier Gazeu - Harry Wendelken	0:2 ✺
16.07.25	Harry Wendelken - Daniel Batista	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
09.07.25	Jack Pinnington Jones - Harry Wendelken	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWWLL
- Lucas Poullain
ITF Tournaments
27.07.25	Gastao Elias - Lucas Poullain	2:1 ✺
26.07.25	Luca Potenza - Lucas Poullain	0:2 ✺
25.07.25	Lucas Poullain - Mae Malige	2:1 ✺
24.07.25	Lucas Poullain - Diogo Marques	2:0 ✺
23.07.25	Lucas Poullain - Francisco Rocha	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LWWWW

Harry Wendelken - Lucas Poullain: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide