Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Wuning, hard - Final

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday


	Harry Wendelken		Pavel Kotov

	1	2
	2.15	1.76
	2.25	1.59	Watch
	2	1.73
	2.02	1.69	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↑ (1.96)	1.69 ↓ (1.74)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Harry Wendelken
44.6%

Pavel Kotov
55.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47%

53%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.1%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Harry Wendelken has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Pavel Kotov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Harry Wendelken than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Harry Wendelken, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pavel Kotov than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pavel Kotov, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Harry Wendelken - Pavel Kotov Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Wendelken will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Kotov will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Wendelken is ranked ATP: 237. Kotov is ranked ATP: 299.

Wendelken is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Kotov is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Kotov may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

We predict that Kotov will win today's game, with odds of 1.74.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Harry Wendelken
ATP Challenger
11.04.26	Harry Wendelken - Li Tu	2:0 ✺
10.04.26	Clement Chidekh - Harry Wendelken	0:2 ✺
09.04.26	Sergey Fomin - Harry Wendelken	0:2 ✺
07.04.26	Filip Peliwo - Harry Wendelken	0:2 ✺
05.04.26	Max Basing - Harry Wendelken	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWWW?
- Pavel Kotov
ATP Challenger
11.04.26	Fajing Sun - Pavel Kotov	1:2 ✺
10.04.26	Pavel Kotov - Ilia Simakin	2:1 ✺
08.04.26	Pavel Kotov - August Holmgren	2:0 ✺
06.04.26	Pavel Kotov - Keegan Smith	2:0 ✺
15.03.26	Pavel Kotov - Filippo Romano	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWWWW

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