Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Yokkaichi, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 24 March 2026, Tuesday


	Tung-Lin Wu		Rio Noguchi

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.57	2.25
	1.56	2.27	Watch
	1.58	2.48
	1.5	2.41	Watch
	1.57	2.25
	1.54	2.32	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.83)	2.32 ↑ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tung-Lin Wu
59.8%

Rio Noguchi
40.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.9%

53.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tung-Lin Wu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tung-Lin Wu's performance.

Rio Noguchi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rio Noguchi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tung-Lin Wu than the current prediction. (-12.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tung-Lin Wu that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Noguchi than the current prediction. (+12.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rio Noguchi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Tung Lin Wu - Rio Noguchi Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Noguchi (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Tung-Lin Wu will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Wu is ranked ATP: 353. Noguchi is ranked ATP: 245.

Wu is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Noguchi's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Wu is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wu won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:4. (average 1.6:0.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Tung-Lin Wu - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 37% of matches with these odds.

Rio Noguchi - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tung-Lin Wu
ATP Challenger
03.03.26	Tung-Lin Wu - Imanol Lopez Morillo	2:0 ✺
02.03.26	Tung-Lin Wu - Sergey Betov	2:0 ✺
26.02.26	Edas Butvilas - Tung-Lin Wu	Wu Tung-Lin retired ✺
24.02.26	Tung-Lin Wu - Alexandr Binda	2:0 ✺
22.02.26	Tung-Lin Wu - Digvijay Pratap Singh	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WW?WW
- Rio Noguchi
ATP Challenger
04.03.26	Rio Noguchi - Antoine Ghibaudo	Canceled ✺
24.02.26	Rio Noguchi - Sumit Nagal	0:2 ✺
20.02.26	Stefanos Sakellaridis - Rio Noguchi	2:0 ✺
18.02.26	Dimitar Kuzmanov - Rio Noguchi	0:2 ✺
16.02.26	Manas Manoj Dhamne - Rio Noguchi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 ?LLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
06.01.26	Tung-Lin Wu - Rio Noguchi	1:2
28.10.24	Rio Noguchi - Tung-Lin Wu	0:2
ATP Tokyo
13.10.23	Rio Noguchi - Tung-Lin Wu	2:1
ATP Challenger
17.07.23	Rio Noguchi - Tung-Lin Wu	0:2
07.11.22	Tung-Lin Wu - Rio Noguchi	2:0

Tung-Lin Wu - Rio Noguchi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide