Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Yokkaichi, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 27 March 2026, Friday


	Rio Noguchi		Harry Wendelken

	1	2
	2	1.73	Watch
	2.05	1.65	Watch
	2.26	1.71
	2.1	1.65	Watch
	2	1.73
	2.06	1.68	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (2.01)	1.69 ↓ (1.72)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rio Noguchi
44.9%

Harry Wendelken
55.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.1%

53.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7%

52.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rio Noguchi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Harry Wendelken has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Noguchi than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Harry Wendelken than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.4%	0%	63.6%

Rio Noguchi - Harry Wendelken Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Noguchi will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Wendelken will win (votes: 7 - 70%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wendelken: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Noguchi is ranked ATP: 245. Wendelken is ranked ATP: 250.

Right now, both players are showing solid form.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

We predict that Wendelken will win today's game, with odds of 1.71.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Rio Noguchi - the odds 2.01 are the expected chance of winning is 46.08%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Harry Wendelken - the odds 1.72 are the expected chance of winning is 53.92%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rio Noguchi
ATP Challenger
26.03.26	Liam Broady - Rio Noguchi	0:2 ✺
26.03.26	Li Tu - Rio Noguchi	1:2 ✺
24.03.26	Tung-Lin Wu - Rio Noguchi	0:2 ✺
04.03.26	Rio Noguchi - Antoine Ghibaudo	Canceled ✺
24.02.26	Rio Noguchi - Sumit Nagal	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWW?L
- Harry Wendelken
ATP Challenger
27.03.26	Yuta Shimizu - Harry Wendelken	0:2 ✺
25.03.26	Paul Jubb - Harry Wendelken	1:2 ✺
23.03.26	Harry Wendelken - Yi Zhou	2:1 ✺
11.03.26	Paul Jubb - Harry Wendelken	2:0 ✺
10.03.26	Giles Hussey - Harry Wendelken	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWWLW

Rio Noguchi - Harry Wendelken: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide