Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Astana, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 15 August 2026, Saturday


	Hayato Matsuoka		Khumoun Sultanov

	1	2
			Watch
	1.62	2.15
	1.65	2.11
	1.70	2.29
	1.64	2.13	Watch
	1.68	2.20
	1.67	2.08	Watch
	1.65	2.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.9)	2.15 ↑ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hayato Matsuoka
56.5%

Khumoun Sultanov
43.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.5%

51.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1%

44.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hayato Matsuoka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hayato Matsuoka's performance.

Khumoun Sultanov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Khumoun Sultanov might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hayato Matsuoka than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Khumoun Sultanov than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Hayato Matsuoka - Khumoun Sultanov Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Matsuoka will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Sultanov will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Matsuoka is ranked ATP: 314. Sultanov is ranked ATP: 513.

Currently, both players are in excellent shape.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Matsuoka won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hayato Matsuoka
ATP Challenger
14.08.26	Fajing Sun - Hayato Matsuoka	0:2 ✺
12.08.26	Takuya Kumasaka - Hayato Matsuoka	0:2 ✺
10.08.26	Koki Matsuda - Hayato Matsuoka	0:2 ✺
30.07.26	Hayato Matsuoka - Jeffrey John Wolf	1:2 ✺
29.07.26	Shintaro Mochizuki - Hayato Matsuoka	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWWLW
- Khumoun Sultanov
ATP Challenger
14.08.26	Khumoun Sultanov - Mert Alkaya	2:0 ✺
12.08.26	Lucio Ratti - Khumoun Sultanov	0:2 ✺
10.08.26	Khumoun Sultanov - Alexandr Binda	2:0 ✺
28.07.26	Duje Ajdukovic - Khumoun Sultanov	Sultanov K. Retired ✺
27.07.26	Aleksandr Braynin - Khumoun Sultanov	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWW?W

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
30.05.24	Khumoun Sultanov - Hayato Matsuoka	2:0

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