Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Yokkaichi, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 26 March 2026, Thursday


	James McCabe		Hayato Matsuoka

	1	2
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.47	2.45	Watch
	1.56	2.55
	1.48	2.46	Watch
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.48	2.47	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.57)	2.47 ↑ (2.25)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

James McCabe
62.1%

Hayato Matsuoka
37.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.9%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9%

45.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

James McCabe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Hayato Matsuoka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for James McCabe than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with James McCabe that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hayato Matsuoka than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hayato Matsuoka could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

James McCabe - Hayato Matsuoka Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. McCabe will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Matsuoka will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

McCabe is ranked ATP: 246. Matsuoka is ranked ATP: 376.

Currently, both players are in excellent shape.

McCabe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

McCabe is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, McCabe won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- James McCabe
ATP Challenger
24.03.26	James McCabe - Andre Ilagan	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
20.03.26	James McCabe - Cruz Hewitt	1:2 ✺
19.03.26	James McCabe - Joshua Charlton	2:0 ✺
19.03.26	James McCabe - Ymerali Ibraimi	2:0 ✺
17.03.26	James McCabe - Matt Hulme	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLWWW
- Hayato Matsuoka
ATP Challenger
23.03.26	Hayato Matsuoka - Ognjen Milic	2:1 ✺
04.03.26	Hayato Matsuoka - Daniil Ostapenkov	Canceled ✺
02.03.26	Hayato Matsuoka - Muzammil Murtaza	2:0 ✺
12.02.26	Hayato Matsuoka - Zhizhen Zhang	0:2 ✺
10.02.26	Marc Polmans - Hayato Matsuoka	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 W?WLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
21.11.25	Hayato Matsuoka - James McCabe	2:0

James McCabe - Hayato Matsuoka: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide