Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Sydney - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 16 November 2025, Sunday


	Hayato Matsuoka		Taiyo Yamanaka

	1	2
			Watch
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.42	2.83
	1.19	4.20	Watch
			Watch
	1.39	2.77	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.42)	3.14 ↑ (2.63)

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Hayato Matsuoka
69.9%

Taiyo Yamanaka
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.9%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.3%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hayato Matsuoka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Taiyo Yamanaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hayato Matsuoka than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Taiyo Yamanaka than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Hayato Matsuoka - Taiyo Yamanaka Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Matsuoka will win (votes: 1 - 50%). Yamanaka will win (votes: 1 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Yamanaka (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Matsuoka is ranked ATP: 589. Yamanaka is ranked ATP: 825.

Matsuoka is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Yamanaka's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Matsuoka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Matsuoka will hold a modest advantage in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hayato Matsuoka
ATP Challenger
15.11.25	Hayato Matsuoka - Daniel Jovanovski	2:1 ✺
14.11.25	Tung-Lin Wu - Hayato Matsuoka	2:0 ✺
13.11.25	Jake Delaney - Hayato Matsuoka	0:2 ✺
11.11.25	Emile Hudd - Hayato Matsuoka	0:2 ✺
10.11.25	Hayato Matsuoka - Rinky Hijikata	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 WLWWW
- Taiyo Yamanaka
ATP Challenger
15.11.25	Daisuke Sumizawa - Taiyo Yamanaka	0:2 ✺
09.11.25	Emile Hudd - Taiyo Yamanaka	2:0 ✺
09.11.25	Jesse Delaney - Taiyo Yamanaka	0:2 ✺
02.11.25	Koki Matsuda - Taiyo Yamanaka	2:1 ✺
01.11.25	Riku Takahata - Taiyo Yamanaka	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLWLW

Hayato Matsuoka - Taiyo Yamanaka: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide