Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Tampere, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 23 July 2026, Thursday


	Henri Squire		Franco Roncadelli

	1	2
			Watch
	1.48	2.50
	1.43	2.65	Watch
	1.48	2.76
	1.4	2.74	Watch
	1.42	2.65
	1.44	2.59	Watch
	1.43	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.65)	2.65 ↑ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Henri Squire
64.8%

Franco Roncadelli
35.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.9%

44.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8%

48.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Henri Squire has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Henri Squire's performance.

Franco Roncadelli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Franco Roncadelli might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Henri Squire than the current prediction. (-13%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Henri Squire that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Franco Roncadelli than the current prediction. (+13%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Franco Roncadelli could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Henri Squire - Franco Roncadelli Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Squire is ranked ATP: 218. Roncadelli is ranked ATP: 228.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Squire may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Henri Squire - the odds 1.65 are the expected chance of winning is 55.88%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Franco Roncadelli - the odds 2.09 are the expected chance of winning is 44.12%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Henri Squire
ATP Challenger
21.07.26	Henri Squire - Mika Petkovic	2:0 ✺
14.07.26	Henri Squire - Jan Kumstat	0:2 ✺
11.07.26	Matej Dodig - Henri Squire	2:1 ✺
10.07.26	Lukas Neumayer - Henri Squire	0:2 ✺
08.07.26	Henri Squire - Francesco Passaro	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WLLWW
- Franco Roncadelli
ATP Challenger
21.07.26	Oskari Paldanius - Franco Roncadelli	0:2 ✺
17.07.26	Max Alcala Gurri - Franco Roncadelli	2:0 ✺
16.07.26	Maxim Mrva - Franco Roncadelli	1:2 ✺
14.07.26	Franco Roncadelli - Lorenzo Giustino	2:1 ✺
06.07.26	Franco Roncadelli - Michele Ribecai	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WLWWL

Henri Squire - Franco Roncadelli: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide