Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Oeiras, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 19 January 2026, Monday


	Vilius Gaubas		Alejandro Moro Canas

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.73	1.99
	1.62	2.18	Watch
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.69	2.02	Watch
	1.71	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.84)	2.07 ↑ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vilius Gaubas
55.2%

Alejandro Moro Canas
44.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vilius Gaubas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vilius Gaubas's performance.

Alejandro Moro Canas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alejandro Moro Canas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Vilius Gaubas - Alejandro Moro Canas Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Gaubas will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Moro Canas will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Games - Gaubas (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Alejandro Moro Canas will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Gaubas (votes: 1 - 25%). Moro Canas (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Gaubas is ranked ATP: 129. Moro Canas is ranked ATP: 242.

Gaubas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Gaubas won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Alejandro Moro Canas - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 42% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vilius Gaubas
ATP Australian Open
14.01.26	Jason Kubler - Vilius Gaubas	2:0 ✺
12.01.26	Nicolas Moreno De Alboran - Vilius Gaubas	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.11.25	Ignacio Buse - Vilius Gaubas	2:1 ✺
11.11.25	David Jorda Sanchis - Vilius Gaubas	1:2 ✺
04.11.25	Vilius Gaubas - Gonzalo Bueno	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWLWL
- Alejandro Moro Canas
ITF Tournaments
08.11.25	Alejandro Moro Canas - Jacopo Berrettini	1:2 ✺
07.11.25	Alejandro Moro Canas - Michael Geerts	2:1 ✺
06.11.25	Alejandro Moro Canas - Mae Malige	2:0 ✺
05.11.25	Alejandro Moro Canas - Dmitrii Vasilev	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
01.11.25	Alejandro Moro Canas - Lorenzo Giustino	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
28.04.24	Alejandro Moro Canas - Vilius Gaubas	2:0

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