Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: French Open, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 31 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Stade Roland-Garros (Paris)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max
Croatia	Max
Czech-republic	Max
Denmark	Max
Finland	Max
France	France TV Rolan Garros, Max
Hungary	Max
Norway	MAX
Poland	Max
Romania	Max
Serbia	Max
Slovenia	Max
Sweden	Max
Usa	Max


	Alexander Bublik		Henrique Rocha

	1	2
	1.3	3.5	Watch
	1.33	3.25
	1.32	3.4	Watch
	1.34	3.59
	1.37	3.1	Watch
	1.33	3.3
	1.34	3.31	Watch
	1.32	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.42)	3.36 ↑ (2.88)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexander Bublik
71.6%

Henrique Rocha
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67%

33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.6%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexander Bublik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Henrique Rocha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexander Bublik than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Henrique Rocha than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.8%	0%	41.2%

Alexander Bublik - Henrique Rocha Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Bublik will win (votes: 10 - 58.8%). Rocha will win (votes: 7 - 41.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bublik: 35.4% – 82.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Bublik (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Rocha (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 39.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 Sets - Bublik (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -3.5 Games - Bublik (1.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Bublik (votes: 4 - 80%). Rocha (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Bublik is ranked ATP: 62. Rocha is ranked ATP: 200.

Bublik is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Rocha is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In this match, Bublik is considered a favorite.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexander Bublik
ATP Roland Garros
29.05.25	Alex De Minaur - Alexander Bublik	2:3 ✺
27.05.25	Alexander Bublik - James Duckworth	3:0 ✺
ATP Hamburg
20.05.25	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Alexander Bublik	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
18.05.25	Alexander Bublik - Bu Yunchaokete	2:0 ✺
17.05.25	Daniel Altmaier - Alexander Bublik	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 WWLWW
- Henrique Rocha
ATP Roland Garros
29.05.25	Henrique Rocha - Jakub Mensik	3:2 ✺
27.05.25	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Henrique Rocha	2:3 ✺
23.05.25	Henrique Rocha - Luca Van Assche	2:1 ✺
22.05.25	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Henrique Rocha	0:2 ✺
20.05.25	Robin Bertrand - Henrique Rocha	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.6 WWWWW

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