Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: French Open, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 31 May 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stade Roland-Garros (Paris) 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Bulgaria	16:45	Max
Croatia	15:45	Max
Czech Republic	15:45	Max
Denmark	15:45	Max
Finland	16:45	Max
France	15:45	France TV Rolan Garros, Max
Hungary	15:45	Max
Norway	15:45	MAX
Poland	15:45	Max
Romania	16:45	Max
Serbia	15:45	Max
Slovenia	15:45	Max
Sweden	15:45	Max
Usa	09:45	Max


	Alexander Bublik		Henrique Rocha

	1	2
	1.3	3.5	Watch
	1.33	3.25
	1.32	3.4	Watch
	1.34	3.59
	1.37	3.1	Watch
	1.33	3.3
	1.34	3.31	Watch
	1.32	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.42)	3.36 ↑ (2.88)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexander Bublik
71.6%

Henrique Rocha
28.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

67%

33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.6%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexander Bublik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Henrique Rocha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexander Bublik than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Henrique Rocha than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.8%	0%	41.2%

Alexander Bublik - Henrique Rocha Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Bublik will win (votes: 10 - 58.8%). Rocha will win (votes: 7 - 41.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bublik: 35.4% – 82.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Bublik (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Rocha (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 39.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 Sets - Bublik (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -3.5 Games - Bublik (1.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Bublik (votes: 4 - 80%). Rocha (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Bublik is ranked ATP: 62. Rocha is ranked ATP: 200.

Bublik is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Rocha is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In this match, Bublik is considered a favorite.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexander Bublik
ATP Roland Garros
29.05.25	Alex De Minaur - Alexander Bublik	2:3 ✺
27.05.25	Alexander Bublik - James Duckworth	3:0 ✺
ATP Hamburg
20.05.25	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Alexander Bublik	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
18.05.25	Alexander Bublik - Bu Yunchaokete	2:0 ✺
17.05.25	Daniel Altmaier - Alexander Bublik	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 WWLWW
- Henrique Rocha
ATP Roland Garros
29.05.25	Henrique Rocha - Jakub Mensik	3:2 ✺
27.05.25	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Henrique Rocha	2:3 ✺
23.05.25	Henrique Rocha - Luca Van Assche	2:1 ✺
22.05.25	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Henrique Rocha	0:2 ✺
20.05.25	Robin Bertrand - Henrique Rocha	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.6 WWWWW

Alexander Bublik - Henrique Rocha

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Who will win by Users?

Alexander Bublik - Henrique Rocha Predictions

Preview

Form

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