Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: French Open, clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 29 May 2025, Thursday

Location: Stade Roland-Garros (Paris)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max
Croatia	Max
Czech-republic	Max
Denmark	Max
Finland	Max
France	France TV Rolan Garros, Max
Hungary	Max
Norway	MAX
Poland	Max
Romania	Max
Serbia	Max
Slovenia	Max
Sweden	Max
Usa	Max


	Henrique Rocha		Jakub Mensik

	1	2
	11	1.05	Watch
	10	1.04
	11	1.04	Watch
	14.11	1.05
	11.02	1.04	Watch
	11	1.04
	11	1.05	Watch
	11	1.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	11.27 ↑ (6)	1.04 ↓ (1.13)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Henrique Rocha
8.5%

Jakub Mensik
91.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.8%

84.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Henrique Rocha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Henrique Rocha's form might have worsened.

Jakub Mensik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jakub Mensik's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Henrique Rocha - Jakub Mensik Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Rocha will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Mensik will win (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rocha: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Rocha is ranked ATP: 200. Mensik is ranked ATP: 19.

Rocha is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Mensik has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Mensik may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Mensik is the obvious favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Henrique Rocha
ATP Roland Garros
27.05.25	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Henrique Rocha	2:3 ✺
23.05.25	Henrique Rocha - Luca Van Assche	2:1 ✺
22.05.25	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Henrique Rocha	0:2 ✺
20.05.25	Robin Bertrand - Henrique Rocha	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.05.25	Gastao Elias - Henrique Rocha	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 WWWWL
- Jakub Mensik
ATP Roland Garros
27.05.25	Alexandre Muller - Jakub Mensik	1:3 ✺
ATP Roma
13.05.25	Hubert Hurkacz - Jakub Mensik	2:1 ✺
12.05.25	Jakub Mensik - Fabian Marozsan	2:0 ✺
10.05.25	Jakub Mensik - Matteo Gigante	2:0 ✺
ATP Madrid
01.05.25	Francisco Cerundolo - Jakub Mensik	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLWWL

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