Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Alicante, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 23 March 2026, Monday


	Zdenek Kolar		Alejandro Moro Canas

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.8	1.9	Watch
	1.72	2.01	Watch
	1.79	2.11
	1.72	2	Watch
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.74	1.95	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (2.1)	2 ↑ (1.67)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zdenek Kolar
53.3%

Alejandro Moro Canas
46.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

55.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

57.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zdenek Kolar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Zdenek Kolar's performance.

Alejandro Moro Canas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alejandro Moro Canas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zdenek Kolar than the current prediction. (-10.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Zdenek Kolar that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alejandro Moro Canas than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alejandro Moro Canas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Zdenek Kolar - Alejandro Moro Canas Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Kolar will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Moro Canas will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Kolar is ranked ATP: 183. Moro Canas is ranked ATP: 239.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Kolar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Zdenek Kolar - the odds 2.1 are the expected chance of winning is 44.28%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Alejandro Moro Canas - the odds 1.67 are the expected chance of winning is 55.72%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zdenek Kolar
ATP Challenger
14.03.26	Marco Trungelliti - Zdenek Kolar	2:0 ✺
13.03.26	Filip Cristian Jianu - Zdenek Kolar	0:2 ✺
12.03.26	Corentin Denolly - Zdenek Kolar	0:2 ✺
09.03.26	Oriol Roca Batalla - Zdenek Kolar	0:2 ✺
04.03.26	Joel Schwaerzler - Zdenek Kolar	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWWWL
- Alejandro Moro Canas
ATP Challenger
19.03.26	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Alejandro Moro Canas	2:1 ✺
17.03.26	Alejandro Moro Canas - Vilius Gaubas	2:0 ✺
02.03.26	Menelaos Efstathiou - Alejandro Moro Canas	2:1 ✺
26.02.26	Alejandro Moro Canas - Dominic Stephan Stricker	0:2 ✺
24.02.26	Nerman Fatic - Alejandro Moro Canas	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LWLLW

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