Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Montevideo, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 11 November 2025, Tuesday


	Sebastian Baez		Alvaro Guillen Meza

	1	2
	1.33	3.25	Watch
	1.35	2.95
	1.44	2.81
	1.40	2.70	Watch
			Watch
	1.36	2.89	Watch
	1.3	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↑ (1.25)	2.98 ↓ (3.71)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sebastian Baez
68.6%

Alvaro Guillen Meza
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

74.8%

25.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sebastian Baez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sebastian Baez's form might have worsened.

Alvaro Guillen Meza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alvaro Guillen Meza's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Sebastian Baez - Alvaro Guillen Meza Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Baez will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Guillen Meza will win (votes: 3 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Alvaro Guillen Meza will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Baez is ranked ATP: 45. Guillen Meza is ranked ATP: 213.

Baez is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Guillen Meza has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Guillen Meza may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Baez is seen as the favorite.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sebastian Baez
ATP Paris
27.10.25	Cameron Norrie - Sebastian Baez	2:0 ✺
ATP Basel
21.10.25	Sebastian Baez - Reilly Opelka	0:2 ✺
21.10.25	Sebastian Baez - Denis Shapovalov	Canceled ✺
ATP Brussels
14.10.25	Valentin Royer - Sebastian Baez	2:0 ✺
14.10.25	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Sebastian Baez	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LL?L?
- Alvaro Guillen Meza
ATP Challenger
08.11.25	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Alvaro Guillen Meza	2:0 ✺
07.11.25	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Alvaro Guillen Meza	1:2 ✺
05.11.25	Nicolas Kicker - Alvaro Guillen Meza	1:2 ✺
04.11.25	Alvaro Guillen Meza - Tristan Boyer	2:1 ✺
01.11.25	Mariano Navone - Alvaro Guillen Meza	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LWWWL

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