Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Playford 2, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday


	Jake Delaney		Rio Noguchi

	1	2
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.46	1.48	Watch
	4.14	1.20	Watch
	2.47	1.48	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.89 ↑ (2.37)	1.42 ↓ (1.53)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jake Delaney
32.8%

Rio Noguchi
67.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

60.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

63.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jake Delaney has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jake Delaney's form might have worsened.

Rio Noguchi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rio Noguchi's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jake Delaney than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rio Noguchi than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Jake Delaney - Rio Noguchi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Delaney is ranked ATP: 461. Noguchi is ranked ATP: 240.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Delaney may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Noguchi will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Delaney won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jake Delaney
ATP Challenger
17.11.25	Jake Delaney - Carl Emil Overbeck	0:2 ✺
16.11.25	Jake Delaney - Joshua Charlton	2:0 ✺
15.11.25	Jake Delaney - Finn Bass	2:0 ✺
13.11.25	Jake Delaney - Hayato Matsuoka	0:2 ✺
12.11.25	Jake Delaney - Mees Rottgering	Rottgering M. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWWL?
- Rio Noguchi
ATP Challenger
16.11.25	Rio Noguchi - Tai Sach	1:2 ✺
10.11.25	Rio Noguchi - Jake Delaney	0:2 ✺
06.11.25	Henrique Rocha - Rio Noguchi	2:1 ✺
04.11.25	Philip Sekulic - Rio Noguchi	0:2 ✺
03.11.25	Yusuke Takahashi - Rio Noguchi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
10.11.25	Rio Noguchi - Jake Delaney	0:2

Jake Delaney - Rio Noguchi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide