Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Matsuyama, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 6 November 2025, Thursday


	Henrique Rocha		Rio Noguchi

	1	2
	1.53	2.38	Watch
			Watch
	1.51	2.39	Watch
	1.57	2.5
	1.53	2.34	Watch
			Watch
	1.5	2.42	Watch
	1.56	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↑ (1.48)	2.39 ↓ (2.47)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Henrique Rocha
60.9%

Rio Noguchi
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.5%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.4%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Henrique Rocha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Rio Noguchi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Henrique Rocha than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rio Noguchi than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Henrique Rocha - Rio Noguchi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Rocha is ranked ATP: 167. Noguchi is ranked ATP: 246.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Noguchi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Rocha is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Rocha won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Rio Noguchi - the odds 2.47 are the expected chance of winning is 37.47%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Henrique Rocha
ATP Challenger
04.11.25	Henrique Rocha - Renta Tokuda	2:0 ✺
03.11.25	Henrique Rocha - Kokoro Isomura	2:1 ✺
27.10.25	Oliver Crawford - Henrique Rocha	2:0 ✺
20.10.25	Henrique Rocha - Duje Ajdukovic	1:2 ✺
14.10.25	Henrique Rocha - Ye Cong Mo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WWLLL
- Rio Noguchi
ATP Challenger
04.11.25	Philip Sekulic - Rio Noguchi	0:2 ✺
03.11.25	Yusuke Takahashi - Rio Noguchi	0:2 ✺
28.10.25	Rio Noguchi - Sho Shimabukuro	0:2 ✺
27.10.25	James Duckworth - Rio Noguchi	1:2 ✺
15.10.25	Rio Noguchi - Kaichi Uchida	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
07.09.21	Henrique Rocha - Rio Noguchi	0:2

Henrique Rocha - Rio Noguchi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide