Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Indian Wells (USA), hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 11 March 2025, Tuesday


	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune		Stefanos Tsitsipas

	1	2
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.25	1.62
	2.3	1.57	Watch
	2.36	1.66
	2.42	1.57	Watch
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.37	1.64	Watch
	2.3	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↑ (2.18)	1.61 ↑ (1.58)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune
40.9%

Stefanos Tsitsipas
59.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42%

58%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3%

59.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Stefanos Tsitsipas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stefanos Tsitsipas than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
35.7%	0%	64.3%

Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Stefanos Tsitsipas Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Rune will win (votes: 10 - 37%). Tsitsipas will win (votes: 17 - 63%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tsitsipas: 44.8% – 81.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Rune is ranked ATP: 13. Tsitsipas is ranked ATP: 9.

Rune in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Tsitsipas is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Tsitsipas will have a poor advantage in this game.

Our prediction for today's Tsitsipas to win the game is with odds 1.61.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Rune won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:1 (average 1.8:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune
ATP Indian Wells
09.03.25	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Ugo Humbert	2:1 ✺
07.03.25	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Corentin Moutet	2:0 ✺
ATP Acapulco
26.02.25	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Brandon Nakashima	Rune H. retired ✺
25.02.25	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Roberto Carballes Baena	2:0 ✺
ATP Buenos Aires
13.02.25	Mariano Navone - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WW?WL
- Stefanos Tsitsipas
ATP Indian Wells
09.03.25	Matteo Berrettini - Stefanos Tsitsipas	0:2 ✺
07.03.25	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Stefanos Tsitsipas	0:2 ✺
ATP Dubai
01.03.25	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Felix Aliassime-Auger	2:0 ✺
28.02.25	Tallon Griekspoor - Stefanos Tsitsipas	0:2 ✺
27.02.25	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Matteo Berrettini	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP World Tour Finals
14.11.23	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	Tsitsipas S. retired
ATP Stockholm
23.10.22	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	0:2
ATP Roland Garros
30.05.22	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Stefanos Tsitsipas	3:1

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