Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Indian Wells (USA), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 9 March 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 1
Brazil	ESPN 3
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Finland	MTV Urheilu 1
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4
Poland	Polsat Sport Premium 1, Polsat Sport Premium 3
Portugal	Sport TV6
Romania	Digi Sport 4, Prima Sport 4
Ukraine	Setanta Sports Premium
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Tennis


	Matteo Berrettini		Stefanos Tsitsipas

	1	2
	1.91	1.91	Watch
	2.1	1.72
	1.9	1.85	Watch
	1.87	2.02
	1.88	1.9	Watch
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.87	1.93	Watch
	1.85	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (2.28)	1.9 ↑ (1.58)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Matteo Berrettini
50%

Stefanos Tsitsipas
50%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

59%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4%

61.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matteo Berrettini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Matteo Berrettini's performance.

Stefanos Tsitsipas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Stefanos Tsitsipas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matteo Berrettini than the current prediction. (-11.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Matteo Berrettini that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stefanos Tsitsipas than the current prediction. (+11.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Stefanos Tsitsipas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.8%	0%	44.2%

Matteo Berrettini - Stefanos Tsitsipas Predictions

Users Predictions: 42 users predict this event. Berrettini will win (votes: 24 - 57.1%). Tsitsipas will win (votes: 18 - 42.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Berrettini: 42.1% – 72.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Berrettini is ranked ATP: 29. Tsitsipas is ranked ATP: 9.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Berrettini won 2.

Recent matches Berrettini is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Tsitsipas is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Berrettini won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 10:18 (average 0.9:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matteo Berrettini
ATP Indian Wells
07.03.25	Matteo Berrettini - Christopher OConnell	2:0 ✺
ATP Dubai
27.02.25	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Matteo Berrettini	2:1 ✺
26.02.25	Matteo Berrettini - Christopher OConnell	2:0 ✺
25.02.25	Gael Monfils - Matteo Berrettini	0:2 ✺
ATP Doha
20.02.25	Matteo Berrettini - Jack Draper	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLWWL
- Stefanos Tsitsipas
ATP Indian Wells
07.03.25	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Stefanos Tsitsipas	0:2 ✺
ATP Dubai
01.03.25	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Felix Aliassime-Auger	2:0 ✺
28.02.25	Tallon Griekspoor - Stefanos Tsitsipas	0:2 ✺
27.02.25	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Matteo Berrettini	2:1 ✺
26.02.25	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Karen Khachanov	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Dubai
27.02.25	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Matteo Berrettini	2:1
ATP Gstaad
20.07.24	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Matteo Berrettini	0:2
ATP Australian Open
14.01.24	Matteo Berrettini - Stefanos Tsitsipas	Canceled
ATP United Cup
07.01.23	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Matteo Berrettini	2:1
ATP Roma
13.05.21	Matteo Berrettini - Stefanos Tsitsipas	0:2
ATP Australian Open
15.02.21	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Matteo Berrettini	Tsitsipas S. walkover
Exhibition UTS Championship Men
12.07.20	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Matteo Berrettini	2:3

Upcoming Matches