Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Acapulco (Mexico), hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 26 February 2025, Wednesday


	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune		Brandon Nakashima

	1	2
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.65	2.2
	1.72	2.25
	1.65	2.21	Watch
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.66	2.24	Watch
	1.65	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↑ (1.55)	2.23 ↓ (2.46)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune
57.3%

Brandon Nakashima
42.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.3%

38.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.3%

35.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Brandon Nakashima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brandon Nakashima than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Brandon Nakashima, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Brandon Nakashima Predictions

Users Predictions: Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune will win (12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Rune is ranked ATP: 13. Nakashima is ranked ATP: 42.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Rune could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Rune won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1:8 (average 0.3:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune
ATP Acapulco
25.02.25	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Roberto Carballes Baena	2:0 ✺
ATP Buenos Aires
13.02.25	Mariano Navone - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	2:0 ✺
ATP Rotterdam
06.02.25	Pedro Martinez Portero - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	2:0 ✺
04.02.25	Lorenzo Sonego - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
01.02.25	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Miomir Kecmanovic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLLWW
- Brandon Nakashima
ATP Acapulco
25.02.25	Benjamin Bonzi - Brandon Nakashima	0:2 ✺
ATP Delray Beach
14.02.25	Matteo Arnaldi - Brandon Nakashima	2:0 ✺
13.02.25	Reilly Opelka - Brandon Nakashima	1:2 ✺
10.02.25	James Kent Trotter - Brandon Nakashima	0:2 ✺
ATP Dallas
05.02.25	Yoshihito Nishioka - Brandon Nakashima	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP US Open
26.08.24	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Brandon Nakashima	0:3
ATP Shanghai
06.10.23	Brandon Nakashima - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	2:0
ATP Next Gen Finals
08.11.22	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Brandon Nakashima	Canceled
11.11.21	Brandon Nakashima - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	3:1

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