Match Info

Date: 21 October 2022, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Poland	Polsat Sport Extra
Portugal	Sport TV
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Hubert Hurkacz		Dominic Thiem

	1	2
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.42	2.85
	1.43	2.85
	1.42	2.7
	1.45	2.97
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.36	3.26	Watch
	1.46	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.46)	2.87 ↑ (2.79)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hubert Hurkacz
66.8%

Dominic Thiem
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.7%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.2%

32.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hubert Hurkacz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Dominic Thiem has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hubert Hurkacz than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dominic Thiem than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.8%	0%	28.2%

Hubert Hurkacz - Dominic Thiem Predictions

Users Predictions: 39 users predict this event. Hurkacz will win (votes: 28 - 71.8%). Thiem will win (votes: 11 - 28.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hurkacz: 57.7% – 85.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Hurkacz is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Thiem is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Hurkacz could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Hurkacz is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Hurkacz won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hubert Hurkacz
ATP Antwerp
19.10.22	Hubert Hurkacz - Jack Draper	2:1 ✺
ATP Astana
07.10.22	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Hubert Hurkacz	2:0 ✺
06.10.22	Alexander Bublik - Hubert Hurkacz	0:2 ✺
03.10.22	Francisco Cerundolo - Hubert Hurkacz	0:2 ✺
ATP Metz
24.09.22	Lorenzo Sonego - Hubert Hurkacz	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLWWL
- Dominic Thiem
ATP Antwerp
20.10.22	Dominic Thiem - Francisco Cerundolo	2:1 ✺
19.10.22	Michael Geerts - Dominic Thiem	0:2 ✺
ATP Gijon
15.10.22	Andrey Rublev - Dominic Thiem	2:0 ✺
14.10.22	Francisco Cerundolo - Dominic Thiem	0:2 ✺
12.10.22	Dominic Thiem - Marcos Giron	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Metz
22.09.22	Dominic Thiem - Hubert Hurkacz	0:2
ATP Cup
07.01.20	Dominic Thiem - Hubert Hurkacz	1:2
ATP Miami
22.03.19	Dominic Thiem - Hubert Hurkacz	0:2

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