Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: MADRID (SPAIN), CLAY - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 28 April 2023, Friday


	Hubert Hurkacz		Richard Gasquet

	1	2
	1.25	4	Watch
	1.25	3.9
	1.24	4.2
	1.25	4
	1.27	4.25
	1.25	4	Watch
	1.23	4.2	Watch
	1.26	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.25 ↓ (1.35)	4.08 ↑ (3.25)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hubert Hurkacz
76.6%

Richard Gasquet
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.7%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hubert Hurkacz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hubert Hurkacz's performance.

Richard Gasquet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Richard Gasquet might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hubert Hurkacz than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hubert Hurkacz that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Richard Gasquet than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Richard Gasquet could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.6%	0%	30.4%

Hubert Hurkacz - Richard Gasquet Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Hurkacz will win (votes: 16 - 69.6%). Gasquet will win (votes: 7 - 30.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hurkacz: 50.8% – 88.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Gasquet could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Hurkacz is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Hurkacz won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hubert Hurkacz
ATP Monte Carlo
13.04.23	Hubert Hurkacz - Jannik Sinner	1:2 ✺
11.04.23	Hubert Hurkacz - Jack Draper	2:1 ✺
09.04.23	Hubert Hurkacz - Laslo Djere	2:1 ✺
ATP Estoril
06.04.23	Bernabe Zapata Miralles - Hubert Hurkacz	2:1 ✺
ATP Miami
27.03.23	Hubert Hurkacz - Adrian Mannarino	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWWLL
- Richard Gasquet
ATP Madrid
26.04.23	Martin Landaluce - Richard Gasquet	0:2 ✺
ATP Banja Luka
20.04.23	Richard Gasquet - Damir Dzumhur	1:2 ✺
18.04.23	Richard Gasquet - Dino Prizmic	2:0 ✺
17.04.23	Richard Gasquet - Marco Cecchinato	Canceled ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
10.04.23	Richard Gasquet - Dominic Thiem	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLW?L

Latest Head to Head

ATP Dubai
16.03.21	Richard Gasquet - Hubert Hurkacz	0:2

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