Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: MONTE CARLO (MONACO), CLAY - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 13 April 2023, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Brazil	ESPN
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1, Max Sport 3
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	Eurosport 2
Denmark	TV2 Sport X
France	Eurosport 1
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Portugal	Sport TV
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub
Sweden	Discovery+, Eurosport 1
Ukraine	Setanta Sports


	Hubert Hurkacz		Jannik Sinner

	1	2
	4.33	1.22	Watch
	4.1	1.22
	4.35	1.22
	4.2	1.22
	4.47	1.25
	4	1.25	Watch
	4.3	1.22	Watch
	4.4	1.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.27 ↑ (2.96)	1.23 ↓ (1.36)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hubert Hurkacz
22.4%

Jannik Sinner
77.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.5%

68.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2%

70.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hubert Hurkacz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hubert Hurkacz's form might have worsened.

Jannik Sinner has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jannik Sinner's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hubert Hurkacz than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hubert Hurkacz, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jannik Sinner than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jannik Sinner, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10.5%	0%	89.5%

Hubert Hurkacz - Jannik Sinner Predictions

Users Predictions: Jannik Sinner will win (34 of 38 users predict this - 89.47%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.71% – 99.23%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Hurkacz is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sinner is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Sinner could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Sinner is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Hurkacz won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hubert Hurkacz
ATP Monte Carlo
11.04.23	Hubert Hurkacz - Jack Draper	2:1 ✺
09.04.23	Hubert Hurkacz - Laslo Djere	2:1 ✺
ATP Estoril
06.04.23	Bernabe Zapata Miralles - Hubert Hurkacz	2:1 ✺
ATP Miami
27.03.23	Hubert Hurkacz - Adrian Mannarino	0:2 ✺
25.03.23	Hubert Hurkacz - Thanasi Kokkinakis	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWLLW
- Jannik Sinner
ATP Monte Carlo
12.04.23	Diego Sebastian Schwartzman - Jannik Sinner	Schwartzman D. retired ✺
ATP Miami
02.04.23	Jannik Sinner - Daniil Medvedev	0:2 ✺
31.03.23	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Jannik Sinner	1:2 ✺
29.03.23	Emil Ruusuvuori - Jannik Sinner	0:2 ✺
28.03.23	Jannik Sinner - Andrey Rublev	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 ?LWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Dubai
24.02.22	Hubert Hurkacz - Jannik Sinner	2:0
ATP World Tour Finals
16.11.21	Jannik Sinner - Hubert Hurkacz	2:0
ATP Miami
04.04.21	Jannik Sinner - Hubert Hurkacz	0:2
ATP Cologne 2
20.10.20	Jannik Sinner - Hubert Hurkacz	Canceled

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