Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rome, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 12 May 2025, Monday


	Hugo Dellien		Alex De Minaur

	1	2
	10	1.06	Watch
	9.75	1.04	Watch
	10	1.05	Watch
	13.78	1.04
	10.77	1.04	Watch
	8	1.07	Watch
	11.2	1.04	Watch
	9.2	1.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	10.34 ↑ (6.08)	1.05 ↓ (1.08)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hugo Dellien
9.2%

Alex De Minaur
90.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.1%

84.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hugo Dellien has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hugo Dellien's form might have worsened.

Alex De Minaur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alex De Minaur's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Hugo Dellien - Alex De Minaur Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Dellien will win (votes: 2 - 40%). De Minaur will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. De Minaur (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Dellien (3.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +6.5 Games - Dellien (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Dellien (votes: 2 - 50%). De Minaur (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Dellien is ranked ATP: 103. De Minaur is ranked ATP: 8.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

De Minaur may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, De Minaur is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Dellien won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:5. (average 0:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hugo Dellien
ATP Roma
10.05.25	Hugo Dellien - Thiago Seyboth Wild	2:1 ✺
06.05.25	Hugo Dellien - Vilius Gaubas	0:2 ✺
05.05.25	Hugo Dellien - Marc-Andrea Huesler	2:1 ✺
ATP Madrid
22.04.25	Jacob Fearnley - Hugo Dellien	2:0 ✺
21.04.25	Adrian Mannarino - Hugo Dellien	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WLWLW
- Alex De Minaur
ATP Roma
10.05.25	Luca Nardi - Alex De Minaur	0:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
30.04.25	Alex De Minaur - Lorenzo Musetti	0:2 ✺
29.04.25	Alex De Minaur - Denis Shapovalov	2:0 ✺
26.04.25	Alex De Minaur - Lorenzo Sonego	2:0 ✺
ATP Barcelona
18.04.25	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Alex De Minaur	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Wimbledon
28.06.22	Alex De Minaur - Hugo Dellien	3:0
ATP Basel
21.10.19	Alex De Minaur - Hugo Dellien	2:0

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