Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rome, clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 10 May 2025, Saturday


	Luca Nardi		Alex De Minaur

	1	2
	7	1.1	Watch
	6.5	1.1	Watch
	8.75	1.06	Watch
	7.54	1.11
	7.21	1.09	Watch
	8	1.07	Watch
	7.2	1.09	Watch
	8.75	1.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.62 ↑ (6.81)	1.09 ↓ (1.1)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luca Nardi
12.5%

Alex De Minaur
87.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.9%

86.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luca Nardi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Alex De Minaur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	0%	42.9%

Luca Nardi - Alex De Minaur Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Nardi will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). De Minaur will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nardi: 26.7% – 80.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Nardi (votes: 1 - 50%). De Minaur (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 19 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +6 Games - Nardi (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Nardi (votes: 2 - 66.7%). De Minaur (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Nardi is ranked ATP: 95. De Minaur is ranked ATP: 8.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

De Minaur may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, De Minaur is the undisputed favorite.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luca Nardi
ATP Roma
08.05.25	Luca Nardi - Flavio Cobolli	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
02.05.25	Luca Nardi - Alex Michelsen	0:2 ✺
01.05.25	Alexey Vatutin - Luca Nardi	0:2 ✺
29.04.25	Luca Nardi - Aleksandar Kovacevic	2:0 ✺
ATP Madrid
22.04.25	Hugo Gaston - Luca Nardi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WLWWL
- Alex De Minaur
ATP Madrid
30.04.25	Alex De Minaur - Lorenzo Musetti	0:2 ✺
29.04.25	Alex De Minaur - Denis Shapovalov	2:0 ✺
26.04.25	Alex De Minaur - Lorenzo Sonego	2:0 ✺
ATP Barcelona
18.04.25	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Alex De Minaur	2:0 ✺
17.04.25	Jacob Fearnley - Alex De Minaur	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWWLW

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