Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Madrid - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 21 April 2025, Monday


	Adrian Mannarino		Hugo Dellien

	1	2
			Watch
	4.2	1.2	Watch
	4.1	1.2	Watch
	4.05	1.25
	3.93	1.24	Watch
	4.5	1.17	Watch
	3.9	1.23	Watch
	4.1	1.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.11 ↑ (2.98)	1.21 ↓ (1.35)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Adrian Mannarino
22.8%

Hugo Dellien
77.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.2%

68.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7%

69.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adrian Mannarino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Adrian Mannarino's form might have worsened.

Hugo Dellien has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hugo Dellien's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adrian Mannarino than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Adrian Mannarino, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hugo Dellien than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hugo Dellien, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Adrian Mannarino - Hugo Dellien Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Mannarino will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Dellien will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -4.5 Games - Dellien (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 Sets - Dellien (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Dellien (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Mannarino is ranked ATP: 124. Dellien is ranked ATP: 101.

Recent matches Mannarino is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Dellien is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Dellien could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Dellien is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Mannarino won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:4 (average 1:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Hugo Dellien - the odds 1.35 are the expected chance of winning is 68.82%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Adrian Mannarino
ATP Challenger
15.04.25	Max Wiskandt - Adrian Mannarino	2:1 ✺
12.04.25	Luka Pavlovic - Adrian Mannarino	2:0 ✺
11.04.25	Adrian Mannarino - Bernard Tomic	2:1 ✺
10.04.25	Adrian Mannarino - Nicolas Mejia	2:1 ✺
08.04.25	Adrian Mannarino - Aidan Mayo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLWWW
- Hugo Dellien
ATP Barcelona
12.04.25	Hamad Medjedovic - Hugo Dellien	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.04.25	Kamil Majchrzak - Hugo Dellien	2:0 ✺
ATP Marrakech
02.04.25	Alexandre Muller - Hugo Dellien	2:1 ✺
31.03.25	Aleksandar Vukic - Hugo Dellien	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
26.03.25	Timofey Skatov - Hugo Dellien	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Monte Carlo
09.04.22	Adrian Mannarino - Hugo Dellien	1:2
ATP Roma
10.05.21	Hugo Dellien - Adrian Mannarino	2:1

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