Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Antofagasta, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 30 September 2025, Tuesday


	Hugo Dellien		Alvaro Guillen Meza

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.69	2.05	Watch
	1.81	2.02
	1.71	2.03	Watch
	1.7	2.06	Watch
	1.6	2.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.52)	2.06 ↓ (2.3)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hugo Dellien
54.7%

Alvaro Guillen Meza
45.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.2%

39.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.2%

39.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hugo Dellien has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hugo Dellien's form might have worsened.

Alvaro Guillen Meza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alvaro Guillen Meza's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hugo Dellien than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hugo Dellien, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alvaro Guillen Meza than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alvaro Guillen Meza, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Hugo Dellien - Alvaro Guillen Meza Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Dellien will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Guillen Meza will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Guillen Meza: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Alvaro Guillen Meza will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Dellien is ranked ATP: 126. Guillen Meza is ranked ATP: 226.

Dellien is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Guillen Meza is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Dellien may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Dellien won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Hugo Dellien - the odds 1.52 are the expected chance of winning is 60.21%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Alvaro Guillen Meza - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 39.79%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hugo Dellien
ATP Challenger
24.09.25	Alex Barrena - Hugo Dellien	Dellien H. retired ✺
23.09.25	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Hugo Dellien	0:2 ✺
16.09.25	Lautaro Midon - Hugo Dellien	2:1 ✺
ATP US Open
25.08.25	Hugo Dellien - Kamil Majchrzak	1:3 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
08.08.25	Hugo Dellien - Reilly Opelka	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 ?WLLL
- Alvaro Guillen Meza
ATP Challenger
27.09.25	Alex Barrena - Alvaro Guillen Meza	2:0 ✺
26.09.25	Alvaro Guillen Meza - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida	2:1 ✺
24.09.25	Alvaro Guillen Meza - Juan Carlos Prado Angelo	2:0 ✺
23.09.25	Hady Habib - Alvaro Guillen Meza	1:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
14.09.25	Alvaro Guillen Meza - Damir Dzumhur	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
17.10.24	Alvaro Guillen Meza - Hugo Dellien	2:1

Hugo Dellien - Alvaro Guillen Meza: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide