Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Montpellier, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 2 February 2026, Monday


	Roberto Bautista-Agut		Christopher OConnell

	1	2
	1.67	2.2	Watch
			Watch
	1.66	2.18	Watch
	1.71	2.24
	1.64	2.21	Watch
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.69	2.18	Watch
	1.66	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.7)	2.19 ↑ (2.11)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roberto Bautista-Agut
56.7%

Christopher OConnell
43.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

44.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roberto Bautista-Agut has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Christopher OConnell has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Roberto Bautista Agut - Christopher OConnell Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 22 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Roberto Bautista-Agut will win (21 of 21 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Roberto Bautista-Agut will win (15 of 15 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Bautista-Agut is ranked ATP: 91. OConnell is ranked ATP: 118.

OConnell has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

OConnell may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Bautista-Agut won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Christopher OConnell - the odds 2.11 are the expected chance of winning is 44.66%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Roberto Bautista-Agut
ATP Australian Open
18.01.26	Juncheng Shang - Roberto Bautista-Agut	3:1 ✺
ATP Auckland
12.01.26	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	0:2 ✺
09.01.26	Mattia Bellucci - Roberto Bautista-Agut	Canceled ✺
ATP Brisbane
02.01.26	Christopher OConnell - Roberto Bautista-Agut	Canceled ✺
ATP Brussels
14.10.25	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Sebastian Baez	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LL???
- Christopher OConnell
ATP Challenger
27.01.26	Kyrian Jacquet - Christopher OConnell	2:0 ✺
ATP Australian Open
19.01.26	Christopher OConnell - Nishesh Basavareddy	2:3 ✺
ATP Adelaide
10.01.26	Jacob Fearnley - Christopher OConnell	2:0 ✺
ATP Brisbane
03.01.26	Dane Sweeny - Christopher OConnell	2:1 ✺
02.01.26	Christopher OConnell - Nikoloz Basilashvili	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Brisbane
02.01.26	Christopher OConnell - Roberto Bautista-Agut	Canceled
ATP Winston-Salem
19.08.25	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Christopher OConnell	O'Connell C. retired
ATP Doha
22.02.23	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Christopher OConnell	1:2

Roberto Bautista-Agut - Christopher OConnell: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide