Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: French Open, clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 28 May 2026, Thursday

Location: Stade Roland-Garros (Paris)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	HBO Max


	Francisco Cerundolo		Hugo Gaston

	1	2
	1.08	8	Watch
	1.08	8
	1.1	8.2
	1.09	7.39	Watch
	1.08	7.5
	1.07	10.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.08 ↓ (1.1)	8.3 ↓ (8.6)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francisco Cerundolo
88.5%

Hugo Gaston
11.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

88.7%

11.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francisco Cerundolo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Hugo Gaston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Francisco Cerundolo - Hugo Gaston Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Cerundolo will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Gaston will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cerundolo: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Cerundolo is ranked ATP: 26. Gaston is ranked ATP: 118.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Cerundolo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Cerundolo is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Cerundolo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francisco Cerundolo
ATP Roland Garros
25.05.26	Francisco Cerundolo - Botic Van De Zandschulp	3:1 ✺
ATP Hamburg
18.05.26	Francisco Cerundolo - Alex De Minaur	1:2 ✺
ATP Roma
10.05.26	Lorenzo Musetti - Francisco Cerundolo	2:0 ✺
08.05.26	Alejandro Tabilo - Francisco Cerundolo	0:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
28.04.26	Francisco Cerundolo - Alexander Blockx	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLLWL
- Hugo Gaston
ATP Roland Garros
25.05.26	Hugo Gaston - Gael Monfils	3:2 ✺
ATP Hamburg
19.05.26	Hugo Gaston - Karen Khachanov	1:2 ✺
17.05.26	Ignacio Buse - Hugo Gaston	2:0 ✺
16.05.26	Marko Topo - Hugo Gaston	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.05.26	Alexander Shevchenko - Hugo Gaston	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Rio de Janeiro
18.02.25	Francisco Cerundolo - Hugo Gaston	2:0
ATP Lyon
22.05.24	Hugo Gaston - Francisco Cerundolo	2:1

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