Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: VALENCIA (SPAIN), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 20 November 2023, Monday


	Hugo Gaston		Harold Mayot

	1	2
			Watch
	1.36	2.85
	1.35	3	Watch
	1.39	3.08
	1.39	3.08
	1.44	2.62
	1.41	2.76	Watch
	1.44	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.72)	2.86 ↑ (2.01)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hugo Gaston
67.2%

Harold Mayot
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54%

46%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.8%

46.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hugo Gaston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hugo Gaston's performance.

Harold Mayot has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Harold Mayot might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hugo Gaston than the current prediction. (-13.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hugo Gaston that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Harold Mayot than the current prediction. (+13.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Harold Mayot could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.2%	0%	36.8%

Hugo Gaston - Harold Mayot Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Gaston will win (votes: 12 - 63.2%). Mayot will win (votes: 7 - 36.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gaston: 41.5% – 84.9%.

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Preview

Gaston is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Mayot is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Mayot could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Gaston will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Mayot to win the game is with odds 2.44.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Gaston won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hugo Gaston
ATP Challenger
15.11.23	Hugo Gaston - Corentin Moutet	1:2 ✺
ATP Metz
07.11.23	Abedallah Shelbayh - Hugo Gaston	2:0 ✺
05.11.23	Daniel Altmaier - Hugo Gaston	Canceled ✺
ATP Challenger
28.10.23	Hugo Gaston - Benjamin Bonzi	1:2 ✺
27.10.23	Arthur Cazaux - Hugo Gaston	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LL?LW
- Harold Mayot
ATP Metz
09.11.23	Ugo Humbert - Harold Mayot	2:0 ✺
07.11.23	Harold Mayot - Gregoire Barrere	2:1 ✺
06.11.23	Harold Mayot - Yosuke Watanuki	2:1 ✺
05.11.23	Harold Mayot - Tom Paris	2:0 ✺
04.11.23	Harold Mayot - Peter Gojowczyk	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
27.02.20	Harold Mayot - Hugo Gaston	Gaston H. retired

Hugo Gaston - Harold Mayot: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide