Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: VALENCIA (SPAIN), CLAY - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 22 November 2023, Wednesday


	Hugo Gaston		Raul Brancaccio

	1	2
	1.2	4.33	Watch
	1.2	4
	1.22	4	Watch
	1.23	4.26
	1.24	4.2
	1.25	3.75
	1.18	4.4	Watch
	1.2	3.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.22 ↓ (1.35)	4.07 ↑ (2.86)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hugo Gaston
77%

Raul Brancaccio
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.9%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.1%

29.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hugo Gaston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hugo Gaston's performance.

Raul Brancaccio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Raul Brancaccio might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hugo Gaston than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hugo Gaston that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Raul Brancaccio than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Raul Brancaccio could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Hugo Gaston - Raul Brancaccio Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Gaston will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Brancaccio will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Gaston is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Brancaccio is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Brancaccio could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Gaston is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hugo Gaston
ATP Challenger
20.11.23	Hugo Gaston - Harold Mayot	2:0 ✺
15.11.23	Hugo Gaston - Corentin Moutet	1:2 ✺
ATP Metz
07.11.23	Abedallah Shelbayh - Hugo Gaston	2:0 ✺
05.11.23	Daniel Altmaier - Hugo Gaston	Canceled ✺
ATP Challenger
28.10.23	Hugo Gaston - Benjamin Bonzi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLL?L
- Raul Brancaccio
ATP Challenger
21.11.23	Salvatore Caruso - Raul Brancaccio	0:2 ✺
19.10.23	Mattia Bellucci - Raul Brancaccio	2:0 ✺
17.10.23	Raul Brancaccio - Remy Bertola	2:1 ✺
10.10.23	Emilio Nava - Raul Brancaccio	2:0 ✺
09.10.23	Raul Brancaccio - Robert Strombachs	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLWLW

Hugo Gaston - Raul Brancaccio: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide