Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Villena - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 5 October 2026, Monday


	Hynek Barton		Petr Nesterov

	1	2
			Watch
	1.55	2.25
	1.52	2.35
	1.51	2.4	Watch
	1.59	2.35
	1.56	2.27	Watch
	1.55	2.30
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↑ (1.52)	2.32 ↓ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hynek Barton
60%

Petr Nesterov
40%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.7%

39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.9%

35.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hynek Barton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Petr Nesterov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hynek Barton than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Petr Nesterov than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Hynek Barton - Petr Nesterov Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Barton is ranked ATP: 283., and Nesterov is ranked ATP: 301..

Barton has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Nesterov is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Nesterov may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Barton holding a narrow advantage.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Last Results with these Odds

Hynek Barton - the odds 1.52 are the expected chance of winning is 60.72%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hynek Barton
ATP Challenger
04.10.26	Hynek Barton - Stefan Latinovic	2:0 ✺
17.09.26	Hynek Barton - Zdenek Kolar	0:2 ✺
15.09.26	Hynek Barton - Raul Brancaccio	2:1 ✺
08.09.26	Nico Hipfl - Hynek Barton	2:0 ✺
27.08.26	Benito Sanchez Martinez - Hynek Barton	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WLWLL
- Petr Nesterov
ATP Challenger
04.10.26	Charles Chen - Petr Nesterov	1:2 ✺
29.09.26	Goncalo Marques - Petr Nesterov	2:1 ✺
28.09.26	Petr Nesterov - Marko Topo	2:0 ✺
27.09.26	Petr Nesterov - Giorgio Tabacco	2:1 ✺
27.09.26	Petr Nesterov - Radu Albot	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLWW?

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