Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Porto - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 28 September 2026, Monday


	Petr Nesterov		Marko Topo

	1	2
			Watch
	1.91	1.75
	1.88	1.82
	1.98	1.75	Watch
	1.98	1.82
	1.92	1.77	Watch
	1.92	1.79
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (2.03)	1.78 ↑ (1.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Petr Nesterov
48%

Marko Topo
52%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.7%

54.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1%

51.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Petr Nesterov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Marko Topo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Petr Nesterov than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marko Topo than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Petr Nesterov - Marko Topo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Nesterov is ranked ATP: 300., and Topo is ranked ATP: 362..

Nesterov has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Topo is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Nesterov may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

Our forecast points to a victory for Topo in today's match, at odds of 1.69.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Last Results with these Odds

Marko Topo - the odds 1.71 are the expected chance of winning is 54.28%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Petr Nesterov
ATP Challenger
27.09.26	Petr Nesterov - Giorgio Tabacco	2:1 ✺
27.09.26	Petr Nesterov - Radu Albot	Canceled ✺
22.09.26	Carlos Taberner - Petr Nesterov	2:1 ✺
01.09.26	Petr Nesterov - Yanaki Milev	1:2 ✺
18.08.26	Petr Nesterov - Calvin Hemery	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 W?LL?
- Marko Topo
ATP Challenger
27.09.26	Mario Gonzalez Fernandez - Marko Topo	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
20.09.26	Marko Topo - Kristijan Juhas	2:0 ✺
19.09.26	Marko Topo - Alexandre Aubriot	2:0 ✺
18.09.26	Marko Topo - Stefan Popovic	2:0 ✺
18.09.26	Marko Topo - Nikita Belozertsev	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWWWW

Petr Nesterov - Marko Topo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide