Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bad Waltersdorf, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 19 September 2025, Friday


	Hynek Barton		Roberto Carballes Baena

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.23	1.59
	2.29	1.67
	2.71	1.43	Watch
			Watch
	2.19	1.63	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↓ (2.37)	1.58 ↑ (1.53)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hynek Barton
40.3%

Roberto Carballes Baena
59.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

60.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

61%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hynek Barton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Roberto Carballes Baena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hynek Barton than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roberto Carballes Baena than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	0%	81.8%

Hynek Barton - Roberto Carballes Baena Predictions

Users Predictions: Roberto Carballes Baena will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Roberto Carballes Baena will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Barton is ranked ATP: 302. Carballes Baena is ranked ATP: 110.

Barton is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Carballes Baena has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Barton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Carballes Baena is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hynek Barton
ATP Challenger
18.09.25	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Hynek Barton	1:2 ✺
17.09.25	Marvin Moeller - Hynek Barton	1:2 ✺
17.09.25	Kilian Feldbausch - Hynek Barton	Canceled ✺
15.09.25	Hynek Barton - Matthew Donald	2:0 ✺
15.09.25	Hynek Barton - Stijn Slump	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WW?WW
- Roberto Carballes Baena
ATP Challenger
18.09.25	Sandro Kopp - Roberto Carballes Baena	1:2 ✺
17.09.25	Dennis Novak - Roberto Carballes Baena	0:2 ✺
01.09.25	Roberto Carballes Baena - Genaro Alberto Olivieri	Carballes Baena R. retired ✺
ATP US Open
24.08.25	Roberto Carballes Baena - Arthur Rinderknech	1:3 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
09.08.25	Francis Tiafoe - Roberto Carballes Baena	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WW?LL

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